Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks

Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks

This article is part of our Yahoo DFS Baseball series.

PITCHER

Julio Teheran, ATL at PHI ($43): Teheran racked up 31 fantasy points against the Padres in his last start and now draws the next-worst team in the majors against right-handed pitching in the Phillies, who have tallied a .297 wOBA and 22.1 percent strikeout rate against that handedness. Philadelphia also has the worst wOBA in the majors at home (.280), while striking out there at a 23.6 percent clip. Teheran has shown a ceiling of close to 40 points on multiple occasions this season and also has the added benefit of opposing Phillies rookie Jake Thompson, who has struggled in several starts.

Yu Darvish, TEX at HOU ($48): Darvish has been the epitome of consistency this season, scoring over 20 fantasy points in all but one of his 12 starts. That includes a 32-fantasy-point performance against this same Astros squad on Aug. 7 when he fired seven scoreless innings and struck out eight. Houston is also striking out at a 25 percent rate at home, including 23.8 percent against right-handed pitching. With his ability to miss plenty of bats, Darvish shapes up as an expensive play that is worth the investment.


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CATCHER

Sandy Leon, BOS at OAK ($14): Leon is perpetually priced at a discount despite his continued string of torrid hitting, making him an outstanding value play for cash games or tournaments. Leon has back-to-back games with 10 fantasy points on the strength of consecutive multi-hit efforts. He also has a .388 wOBA and 42.1 percent hard contact rate against right-handers on the road, while A's starter Kendall Graveman has given up a .332 wOBA and 32.6 percent hard contact rate to lefty bats. While the Coliseum is certainly much friendlier to pitchers, Leon has been far from a Fenway mirage, boasting a .427 wOBA and .247 ISO on the road that's better than his respective figures in those categories at home. 

FIRST BASE

Chris Davis, BAL vs. NYY ($19): Davis always brings multi-homer upside and draws the matchup to possibly cash in on that potential Sunday, as Yankees starter Michael Pineda has given up a robust .384 wOBA and 35.8 percent hard contact rate to lefty bats away from Yankee Stadium. Those figures suit Davis just fine, considering he's tallied a .355 wOBA, .276 ISO and 26 of his 33 homers on the season against righty arms, along with a 40.2 percent hard contact rate against that handedness at home.

SECOND BASE

Brian Dozier, MIN vs. CWS ($26) : Dozier tops the price range at second base but is well worth it, considering the scorching bat that he's wielded over the majority of the second half of the season, as well as his matchup against White Sox starter Anthony Ranaudo. Dozier has double-digit fantasy points in six of his last eight games, including four homers over that span. Ranaudo surrenders a .403 wOBA to righty hitters that bumps up to .442 when facing them on the road. He's also yielded a massive 4.32 HR/9 to right-handed bats away from U.S. Cellular Field, along with a 6.93 xFIP and 28.6 percent HR/FB rate. Meanwhile, Dozier has a .355 wOBA and .246 ISO against right-handed pitching, with 23 of his 33 homers also coming against that handedness.

THIRD BASE

Todd Frazier, CWS at MIN ($12): Frazier's price is significantly reduced, making it an opportune time to jump on him for his long-ball upside against Twins starter Andrew Albers, who's given up a whopping .548 wOBA to righty bats at home over a 22-batter sample. He's also been highly vulnerable to right-handed hitters in general, with his HR/9 rate currently sitting at an absurd 3.86. Frazier has three round-trippers in his last five games alone, along with a .365 wOBA, .444 ISO and 36.4 percent HR/FB rate against lefties on the road. While consistent contact is always a problem for Frazier, Albers' unsightly 5.40 K/9 rate against right-handed hitters at home should alleviate some of those concerns.

SHORTSTOP

Xander Bogaerts, BOS at OAK ($11): Bogaerts is another inexplicable bargain Sunday, considering that he comes in with double-digit fantasy points in his last three games and has hit safely in seven of his last eight contests. He also has a .344 wOBA against right-handed pitching, along with a 33.5 percent hard contact rate when facing that handedness on the road. While A's starter Kendall Graveman has been tough against righties all season, Bogaerts' price and hot bat render him an outstanding tournament play with a considerable ceiling.

OUTFIELD

Carlos Gonzalez, COL vs. ARI ($17): Opposing starter Archie Bradley has struggled against left-handed hitting this year, and with Coors Field as a backdrop, the target on his back becomes that much bigger. The right-hander has given up a .408 wOBA to lefty bats, along with 10 of his 16 homers on the season. His other relevant metrics are just as unsightly, with left-handed hitters tagging him for a 38.6 percent hard contact rate and 22.2 percent HR/FB rate. Those weakness feed right into the strengths of Gonzalez, who has a .441 wOBA, .315 ISO, 21.3 percent HR/FB rate and 36.2 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching at Coors Field.

David Dahl, COL vs. ARI ($23): Dahl's numbers against right-handed pitching at Coors Field looking every bit as good as Gonzalez's, as he has a .365 batting average, .432 wOBA and .250 ISO over 56 plate appearances against righties, along with a whopping 43.9 percent hard contact rate.

Miguel Sano, MIN vs. CWS ($16): Sano is coming off a 16-fantasy point day Saturday that consisted of a two-run homer, and he'll bring a .323 wOBA and .208 ISO against right-handed pitching into Sunday, along with an impressive 42.7 percent hard contact rate against that handedness at Target Field, which works out well against Anthony Ranaudo struggles detailed earlier.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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