Jack Leiter

Jack Leiter

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Texas Rangers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
There was no analytical reason to remain optimistic with Leiter after his consistently poor 2022 season, when his last name and draft pedigree were doing all the heavy lifting with his prospect value. After a second poor season at Double-A, there remains little to get excited about, although he did at least have multi-start stretches of success in his age-23 season. Leiter had a strong 31.3 percent strikeout rate, but his walk rate was over 13 percent for the second year in a row. The best stretch of Leiter's pro career was a 40.1-inning run with a 2.68 ERA and 1.09 WHIP from early-May through mid-June. However, after turning in two abysmal starts in the middle of the season, Leiter was placed on the developmental list for seven weeks as he worked on his mechanics. He excelled in four appearances (16.1 innings) at Double-A after returning late in the year before getting lit up in his lone Triple-A start to close the season. The consistent factor in Leiter's success or failure is his walk rate. He at least showed flashes of starter-level command last season, but he turns 24 in April and has a career 1.51 WHIP in 177.2 innings. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#597
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Rangers in April of 2024.
Roughed up again Wednesday
PTexas Rangers
May 9, 2024
Leiter escaped with a no-decision in a 12-11 win over the A's in the second game of Wednesday's doubleheader, coughing up six runs (four earned) on seven hits over four innings. He struck out three without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
The rookie right-hander once again didn't look ready for the majors, serving up homers to Shea Langeliers and Tyler Soderstrom before getting the hook after 60 pitches (44 strikes). Leiter has taken a big step forward this season at Triple-A, but he's been tagged for 13 runs (11 earned) in his first 7.2 big-league innings, and the Rangers may look elsewhere for short-term rotation help rather than damage the 24-year-old's confidence any further.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
73
Last 10 Games
73
Last 5 Games
73
How many pitches does Jack Leiter generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jack Leiter generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .368 20 4 1 7 1 2 1
Since 2022vs Right .400 22 2 2 8 2 0 1
2024vs Left .368 20 4 1 7 1 2 1
2024vs Right .400 22 2 2 8 2 0 1
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Since 2022Away 12.91 2.35 7.2 0 0 0 7.0 3.5 2.3
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 12.91 2.35 7.2 0 0 0 7.0 3.5 2.3
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jack Leiter compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.00
 
K/9
7.0
 
BB/9
3.5
 
HR/9
2.3
 
Fastball
95.8 mph
 
ERA
12.91
 
WHIP
2.35
 
BABIP
.454
 
GB/FB
0.92
 
Left On Base
32.9%
 
Exit Velocity
87.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
11.1%
 
Spin Rate
2372 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
37.0%
 
Swinging Strike
10.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Being revamped
PTexas Rangers
September 3, 2023
Leiter has needed "a lot of mechanical changes this year" in addition to efforts to "improve his mental approach," shares Jim Bowden of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Leiter has posted a 5.40 ERA and 1.49 WHIP across 16 Double-A starts this season. Profiling as one of the Rangers' top pitching prospects, the 23-year-old is losing credibility to be a trustworthy stash despite his pedigree as the second-overall pick in the 2021 Draft.
See All MLB Rumors
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
If Leiter had a different last name and draft pedigree, he would be a free agent in many dynasty leagues. He wasn't bad at everything, but he also wasn't good at anything in his 92.2-inning pro debut at Double-A. His 10.6 K/9 ranked 26th among Double-A pitchers with 70-plus innings, but it was an elevated mark because he was walking so many batters (5.4 BB/9), and therefore getting more opportunities per inning to strike hitters out. In a more useful statistic (K%), Leiter ranked 43rd among that same subset, and his 13.2 BB% was the 13th-worst mark among Double-A starters. There isn't a single stretch in Leiter's season where we can cherry-pick a run of success, and he was supposed to be an advanced starter who could move quickly through the minors. Given his pedigree, Leiter will be given more opportunities to succeed than the average minor-leaguer, but any positivity going forward is just a call-back to his impressive college resume at Vanderbilt.
As with many college pitchers, Leiter did not pitch after getting drafted second-overall by the Rangers and signing for the richest bonus ($7.922 million) in the class. Well-known for his bloodlines (father Al pitched in the majors for 19 years) and dominance at Vanderbilt, Leiter could be the first starting pitcher from this class to reach the majors. Statistically, none of his peers can touch him. The draft-eligible sophomore had a 2.13 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and 179:45 K:BB in 110 innings (18 starts). He had a 15-strikeout game during the College World Series, which is the second-most strikeouts of all time from an SEC pitcher in a CWS game. It all starts with his 70-grade fastball, which sits in the low-to-mid-90s but plays well above that velocity thanks to excellent rising action and maximum extension from a 6-foot-1 frame. He throws a curveball, slider and changeup, but none of his offspeed pitches project to be in the same class as his fastball, which limits his realistic upside. Pitchability and competitiveness are strong traits for Leiter, so he is a decent bet to get the most out of his tools, but there is not much projection remaining. He is the rare pitching prospect who could require fewer than 20 starts in the minors before making his big-league debut.
More Fantasy News
Called up ahead of Wednesday's start
PTexas Rangers
May 8, 2024
The Rangers recalled Leiter from Triple-A Round Rock ahead of his scheduled start in the second game of Wednesday's doubleheader with the Athletics in Oakland.
ANALYSIS
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Scheduled starter Wednesday
PTexas Rangers
May 8, 2024
Leiter will be called up from Triple-A Round Rock and is scheduled to start the second game of Wednesday's doubleheader against the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to make start Wednesday
PTexas Rangers
May 7, 2024
Rangers manager Bruce Bochy said Tuesday that Leiter will "probably" start the second game of Wednesday's doubleheader against the Athletics, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.
ANALYSIS
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On schedule if needed
PTexas Rangers
May 3, 2024
Leiter allowed two runs on three hits and two walks while striking out four over five innings for Triple-A Round Rock on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Returning to Triple-A
PTexas Rangers
April 19, 2024
The Rangers optioned Leiter to Triple-A Round Rock on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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