Dylan Cease
28-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
5-5
ERA
3.51
WHIP
0.96
K
93
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Cease finished second in voting for the AL Cy Young in 2022 after he posted a 2.20 ERA in 32 starts, but he stumbled to a 4.58 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 214:79 K:BB over 177 innings last season. Some regression wasn't surprising since the elite campaign had some underwhelming peripherals, but much like the White Sox in general, his fall in 2023 was steeper than anticipated. The underlying numbers flipped in the opposite direction, with a 3.72 FIP indicating he had some poor luck. Cease's strikeout rate dropped over three points to 27.3 percent, though he improved his walk rate slightly to 10.1 percent. A .330 BABIP and 41.5 percent hard-hit rate were both career worsts, the former of which was certainly affected by Chicago's horrid defense (minus-59 DRS). His true self likely falls somewhere in between the results of the past two seasons, making him somewhat of a volatile option for fantasy managers in 2024, though his strikeout floor is strong. Cease has also been regularly mentioned in trade rumors over the past year, and a move elsewhere would likely only improve his immediate outlook. Read Past Outlooks
Quality start in loss
Cease (5-5) allowed three runs on four hits and a walk while striking out six over six innings to take the loss Wednesday versus the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Cease took his third loss in five outings. He was done in by the long ball again, as Nolan Schanuel took him deep to lead off the bottom of the first inning and Zach Neto added a two-run blast in the second. Cease has surrendered six homers during his five-start winless stretch. The right-hander is now at a 3.51 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 93:22 K:BB over 77 innings across 13 starts this season. He's not having a bad year by any means -- his 2.6 BB/9 is the best of his career. Cease will look to snap his skid in his next start, tentatively projected to be at home versus the Athletics.
Cease took his third loss in five outings. He was done in by the long ball again, as Nolan Schanuel took him deep to lead off the bottom of the first inning and Zach Neto added a two-run blast in the second. Cease has surrendered six homers during his five-start winless stretch. The right-hander is now at a 3.51 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 93:22 K:BB over 77 innings across 13 starts this season. He's not having a bad year by any means -- his 2.6 BB/9 is the best of his career. Cease will look to snap his skid in his next start, tentatively projected to be at home versus the Athletics.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
99
Last 10 Games
100
Last 5 Games
99
How many pitches does Dylan Cease generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Dylan Cease generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-21%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .240 | 227 | 87 | 193 | 23 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .191 | 307 | 92 | 157 | 20 | |||
2024vs Left | .213 | 38 | 13 | 27 | 4 | |||
2024vs Right | .169 | 55 | 9 | 25 | 4 | |||
2023vs Left | .268 | 91 | 30 | 96 | 13 | |||
2023vs Right | .230 | 123 | 49 | 76 | 6 | |||
2022vs Left | .219 | 98 | 44 | 70 | 6 | |||
2022vs Right | .163 | 129 | 34 | 56 | 10 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-2%
ERA at Home
2024
-31%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.36 | 1.20 | 230.2 | 10.7 | 3.7 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.43 | 1.22 | 207.1 | 11.3 | 3.7 | ||||
2024Home | 4.34 | 1.07 | 29.0 | 10.9 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Away | 3.00 | 0.90 | 48.0 | 10.9 | 2.6 | ||||
2023Home | 4.20 | 1.44 | 94.1 | 9.9 | 4.6 | ||||
2023Away | 5.01 | 1.39 | 82.2 | 12.0 | 3.4 | ||||
2022Home | 2.35 | 1.02 | 107.1 | 11.2 | 3.2 | ||||
2022Away | 2.00 | 1.24 | 76.2 | 10.9 | 4.7 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Dylan Cease compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.23K/9
10.9BB/9
2.6HR/9
0.9Fastball
96.8 mphERA
3.51WHIP
0.96BABIP
.262GB/FB
0.79Left On Base
65.3%Exit Velocity
81.6 mphBarrels/BBE
5.7%Spin Rate
2655 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
19.0%Swinging Strike
15.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could be dealt before Opening Day
Cease is seen as a candidate to be traded prior to Opening Day, a source tells Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
The White Sox are coming off a 61-101 campaign and are likely bracing for another non-contending season in 2024, so the 28-year-old Cease -- who is under club control through 2025 -- could be an attractive trade chip. The White Sox have reportedly already engaged in trade conversations with the Rangers and Yankees this spring, both of whom have needs for a top-of-rotation arm while Texas' Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom and New York's Gerrit Cole recover from injuries. The Padres have also been in discussions about Cease, and while San Diego doesn't have any major injuries to its rotation, Blake Snell's departure in free agency following a Cy Young-winning season still leaves a major void.
The White Sox are coming off a 61-101 campaign and are likely bracing for another non-contending season in 2024, so the 28-year-old Cease -- who is under club control through 2025 -- could be an attractive trade chip. The White Sox have reportedly already engaged in trade conversations with the Rangers and Yankees this spring, both of whom have needs for a top-of-rotation arm while Texas' Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom and New York's Gerrit Cole recover from injuries. The Padres have also been in discussions about Cease, and while San Diego doesn't have any major injuries to its rotation, Blake Snell's departure in free agency following a Cy Young-winning season still leaves a major void.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Cease followed up 2021's breakthrough campaign with an even better season, finishing a distant second to Justin Verlander in the AL Cy Young voting. Cease started 32 games for the second straight season, finishing with a career-high 184 innings. It wasn't by much, but Cease's K% ticked down while his BB% inched up. A .260 BABIP and 82.3% LOB mark resulted in a 2.20 ERA, over a run below the associated 3.50 xFIP and 3.48 SIERA. Cease is being drafted ahead of starters with similar or better skills, but with a longer track record. If he can lower his 10% walk rate, Cease could be one of the best pitchers in the league. There is a pathway as Cease uses his fastball 47% of the time but throws it for a strike at a low 62% rate. Cease is a prime example of how pitchers can be both lucky and good. Dreaming of a lower walk rate is tempting, but the regression monster is looming with nightmare intentions.
More Fantasy News
Yields three runs in no-decision
Cease did not factor into the decision in Friday's 11-8 win over the Royals, allowing three runs on five hits and one walk over 5.1 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out nine in loss
Cease (5-4) was tagged with the loss Saturday, allowing four runs on eight hits over 6.2 innings against the Yankees. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles in Game 1 of twin bill
Cease allowed five runs on nine hits and three walks while striking out five batters over four innings in a no-decision against Atlanta in the first game of Monday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
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Pitches well in loss
Cease (5-3) took the loss Tuesday against the Rockies, allowing three runs on five hits and a walk while striking out eight over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Allows one hit in seven frames
Cease (5-2) picked up the win Wednesday against the Cubs, allowing one hit and two walks over seven scoreless innings. He struck out 12.
ANALYSIS
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