Francisco Alvarez
22-Year-Old
10-Day IL
Injury Thumb
Est. Return 6/11/2024
2024 Stats
AVG
.236
HR
1
RBI
8
R
8
SB
1
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarez didn't break camp with the Mets, but he was called up a week into the season and became the regular backstop, catching two-thirds of the club's games, along with seven games as the designated hitters. Alvarez fanned 26 percent of the time, which was in range of his minor league track record. However, his walk rate was just eight percent, considerably lower than his minor league pedigree. An above average exit velocity on fly balls supported bashing 25 homers. However, Alvarez's .222 BABIP, along with an above average strikeout rate rendered him a batting average liability. Some of the low BABIP was an unusually low line drive rate, along with a low BABIP on grounders. Both should improve this season, but Alvarez's average will still likely be detrimental to a fantasy lineup. On the other hand, his power is real, and his run production should pick up as the Mets offense should improve. Alvarez's defense and framing were excellent, though he had trouble controlling the running game. Alvarez should be among the leaders in homers from catchers, just make sure you can absorb his low average. Read Past Outlooks
Resumes rehab in Brooklyn
Alvarez (thumb) resumed his rehab assignment Sunday with High-A Brooklyn, starting at catcher while going 0-for-5 in a 7-6 loss to Aberdeen.
ANALYSIS
After going 3-for-14 with a home run and three walks across the first five games of his rehab assignment, Alvarez had been out of the Brooklyn lineup for each of the previous three days while tending to a family matter in his native Venezuela. He rejoined Brooklyn for its final game of the week, and though he came up empty at the plate, getting additional at-bats under his belt is the more pressing concern for Alvarez as he looks to prove he's made a full recovery from the left thumb surgery he underwent in late April. If the Mets are comfortable with Alvarez's health coming out of Sunday's contest, he could be activated from the 10-day injured list for the start of the big club's series with the Marlins that begins Tuesday.
After going 3-for-14 with a home run and three walks across the first five games of his rehab assignment, Alvarez had been out of the Brooklyn lineup for each of the previous three days while tending to a family matter in his native Venezuela. He rejoined Brooklyn for its final game of the week, and though he came up empty at the plate, getting additional at-bats under his belt is the more pressing concern for Alvarez as he looks to prove he's made a full recovery from the left thumb surgery he underwent in late April. If the Mets are comfortable with Alvarez's health coming out of Sunday's contest, he could be activated from the 10-day injured list for the start of the big club's series with the Marlins that begins Tuesday.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+22%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+47%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .622 | 173 | 7 | 26 | .179 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .761 | 323 | 20 | 46 | .228 | ||||
2024vs Left | .825 | 21 | 1 | 4 | .278 | ||||
2024vs Right | .561 | 38 | 0 | 4 | .216 | ||||
2023vs Left | .611 | 148 | 6 | 22 | .171 | ||||
2023vs Right | .777 | 275 | 19 | 41 | .229 | ||||
2022vs Left | .000 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
2022vs Right | 1.150 | 10 | 1 | 1 | .250 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
+75%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .713 | 253 | 11 | 36 | .218 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .714 | 243 | 16 | 36 | .205 | ||||
2024Home | .757 | 40 | 1 | 6 | .270 | ||||
2024Away | .433 | 19 | 0 | 2 | .167 | ||||
2023Home | .670 | 207 | 9 | 29 | .201 | ||||
2023Away | .768 | 216 | 16 | 34 | .217 | ||||
2022Home | 2.167 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .500 | ||||
2022Away | .000 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Francisco Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.29BB Rate
6.8%K Rate
23.7%BABIP
.300ISO
.127AVG
.236OBP
.288SLG
.364OPS
.652wOBA
.289Exit Velocity
88.4 mphHard Hit Rate
24.4%Barrels/PA
3.4%Expected BA
.212Expected SLG
.302Sprint Speed
22.9 ft/secGround Ball %
63.4%Line Drive %
9.8%Fly Ball %
26.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
No movement on extension
According to Jon Heyman of the New York Post, the Mets haven't approached Alvarez regarding a contract extension.
ANALYSIS
Alvarez said the same thing early in spring training, and the front office apparently isn't interested in starting up negotiations. The 22-year-old backstop is open to an extension, but it doesn't appear a deal will be happening anytime soon. Alvarez is off to a hot start in 2024, as he's gone 6-for-14 with two doubles, a home run, two RBI and three runs through four games.
Alvarez said the same thing early in spring training, and the front office apparently isn't interested in starting up negotiations. The 22-year-old backstop is open to an extension, but it doesn't appear a deal will be happening anytime soon. Alvarez is off to a hot start in 2024, as he's gone 6-for-14 with two doubles, a home run, two RBI and three runs through four games.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Generally considered a top-10 real-life prospect - although more divisive on fantasy rankings - Alvarez is best known for his impressive age-to-level advancement through the minors and huge raw power. He got his first MLB cup of coffee as a 20-year-old after slashing .260/.374/.510 with a 24.8 K%, 14.1 BB% and 36.3 Hard% across Double-A and Triple-A. Alvarez, who turned 21 in November, is well ahead of the typical catcher his age on the developmental path. He is also an oddity from a physical standpoint, as he is generously listed at 5-foot-10 and a similarly favorable 233 pounds. We've seen boxy catchers have success, but there's no denying he is a 20-grade athlete who figures to get even less agile over the coming years. His hard-hit data and in-game performance suggest he could hit double-digit homers as a rookie, but it seems like a neutral batting average would be a best-case scenario. He will always be more valuable in OBP leagues. Alvarez underwent ankle surgery in October but is expected to be ready to compete for the starting catcher job in spring training.
More Fantasy News
Return could be delayed
Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said Friday that Alvarez (thumb) flew back to his native Venezuela to tend to a family matter, Mike Puma of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Set to catch on consecutive days
Alvarez (thumb) will be behind the plate for Triple-A Syracuse on both Friday and Saturday before serving as the designated hitter Sunday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Eyeing return next week
Manager Carlos Mendoza said Monday that Alvarez (thumb) won't join the Mets for their two-game series in London with the Phillies this weekend, but the catcher could be ready to return from the 10-day injured list June 11 for the start of the club's homestand, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared for rehab assignment
Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said Tuesday that Alvarez (thumb) will begin a rehab assignment with Double-A Binghamton on Thursday, Jorge Castillo of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Looking good in batting practice
Alvarez (thumb) was reaching exit velocities over 100 miles per hour during batting practice over the weekend, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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