Matt Wallner

26-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Minnesota Twins AAA

2024 Stats

AVG

.080

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

Wallner had a strong first full season in the majors and looks set to begin 2024 as the starting left fielder. After two short stints in the majors in April and May, Wallner was called up in July and took over the left field job by hitting 13 home runs with a .854 OPS in the second half. Wallner has outstanding power as measured by elite Avg. Exit Velocity (91.9 mph) and Barrel % (18.8%). He crushed right-handed pitching by hitting .281 with 12 home runs and a .970 OPS against righties. However, he struggled against lefties by hitting .118 with a .481 OPS against southpaws (although just 46 PA). Though he draws walks at a good rate (11.0% BB%) he strikes out too often (31.2% K%). He has one of the best throwing arm in the majors, but his range isn't great in the outfield. While he'll likely start in left field, he could be platooned and replaced for defensive purposes. Wallner has 30-home run power if he can improve against lefties and find more time in the lineup. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#360

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League AAA

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'5"

Weight 220

DOB 12/12/1997

Drafted 2019

Struggles continue at Triple-A

OFMinnesota Twins AAA

May 27, 2024

Wallner is hitting just .180/.265/.344 with five home runs in 33 games since being demoted to Triple-A St. Paul.

ANALYSIS
Wallner began the season as Minnesota's starting right fielder, but was sent to the minors after hitting just 2-for-33 through 13 games. He had also struggled in spring training (5-for-38) and looked lost at the plate. Unfortunately except for one small hot streak in early May, he hasn't broken out of his funk. While he could still turn his season around and an injury or two in the majors could see him quickly get called up, it certainly doesn't appear like he's set to force his way back to the big leagues any time soon.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+108%

OPS vs RHP

2024

-100%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+102%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+150%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.435	65	3	2	5	0	.117	.185	.250
Since 2022vs Right	.905	287	44	15	50	3	.260	.390	.515
2024vs Left	.000	1	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
2024vs Right	.531	32	1	1	4	0	.083	.281	.250
2023vs Left	.481	46	3	2	3	0	.119	.196	.286
2023vs Right	.970	208	39	12	38	2	.281	.409	.561
2022vs Left	.343	18	0	0	2	0	.118	.167	.176
2022vs Right	.858	47	4	2	8	1	.275	.383	.475
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+23%

OPS at Home

2024

+129%

OPS on Road

2023

+29%

OPS at Home

2022

+8%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.898	174	26	10	31	3	.238	.374	.524
Since 2022Away	.733	178	21	7	24	0	.224	.331	.401
2024Home	.273	11	0	0	0	0	.000	.273	.000
2024Away	.626	22	1	1	4	0	.118	.273	.353
2023Home	.976	142	25	9	26	2	.265	.394	.581
2023Away	.756	112	17	5	15	0	.229	.339	.417
2022Home	.675	21	1	1	5	1	.167	.286	.389
2022Away	.726	44	3	1	5	0	.256	.341	.385
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Stat Review

How does Matt Wallner compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.18

BB Rate

9.1%

K Rate

51.5%

BABIP

.125

ISO

.160

AVG

.080

OBP

.273

SLG

.240

OPS

.513

wOBA

.252

Exit Velocity

86.1 mph

Hard Hit Rate

22.2%

Barrels/PA

3.0%

Expected BA

.123

Expected SLG

.235

Sprint Speed

22.9 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

33.3%

Line Drive %

22.2%

Fly Ball %

44.4%

Prospect Rankings History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Seeking mental, physical reset

OFMinnesota Twins AAA

April 17, 2024

Manager Rocco Baldelli hopes Wallner's demotion to Triple-A St. Paul on Tuesday will serve as a mental and physical reset, reports Dan Hayes of The Athletic.

ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old impressed in 2023 with an .877 OPS and 14 homers in 76 games for the Twins, but he went 2-for-25 with 17 strikeouts in 33 plate appearances this year before being sent down. Strikeouts have always been a concern for Wallner -- he had a 31.5 percent strikeout rate last season and never had a rate below 26 percent in the minors -- but his struggles became untenable with Minnesota looking to shake off a slow start as a team. Wallner should receive another big-league chance at some point in 2024, assuming he gets back on track at Triple-A.

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2020

It's incredibly fitting that the Twins signed Joey Gallo this offseason, as Wallner is extremely similar to Gallo from a height, size, handedness and tools standpoint. A 6-foot-5 lefty-hitting, righty-throwing right fielder with easy 70-grade power and a 70-grade arm, Wallner made his big-league debut in 2022 and hit 27 home runs in 128 games between Double-A and Triple-A. He had a 38.5 K% in 65 MLB plate appearances after logging a 27.5 K% at Triple-A. Wallner's 113.8 mph maximum exit velocity (93rd percentile) in the majors is a huge indicator in his favor, and he has the power to exceed that figure over a larger sample. Wallner won't have a large role to start the year and may open in Triple-A, but he would be a cheap source of power if he falls into at least the strong side of a platoon at some point this season.

Selected with the No. 39 overall pick out of Southern Mississippi, Wallner was seen as a potential two-way prospect (some teams liked him better on the mound) before he scrapped pitching his draft year due to a forearm strain. His plus arm and 70-grade raw power give him a chance to be an impactful right fielder if he hits enough. Wallner hit .258/.357/.452 with eight home runs and 80 strikeouts (27.5 K%) in 65 games across stops in the Appalachian and Midwest leagues. The left-handed hitter did not show significant splits in his debut, so his main focus in his first full season will be to keep the strikeouts in check while getting to his top tool more consistently in games. He makes for a nice flier in deeper dynasty leagues and should at least be on watch lists in shallower formats. Look for him to either return to Low-A or get assigned to High-A for his age-22 season.

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