Bobby Miller

Bobby Miller

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Dodgers AAA
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Following a promising rookie campaign, Miller was slated to be a key piece of the Dodgers' rotation in 2024, but after a dominant six-inning, 11-strikeout, scoreless first start, he took a big step back and ended the year in the minors. Injuries played a part in his rough campaign, as the right-hander missed over two months early with a shoulder issue and later dealt with a minor knee injury. All told, the right-hander posted an ugly 8.52 ERA and 1.77 WHIP while serving up 17 homers over just 56 innings. Miller's Statcast numbers tell the story of a hurler who didn't fool many hitters and was continuously pounded -- while his 97.5 mph average fastball velocity ranked in the 94th percentile among pitchers, he ranked in just the 27th percentile with a 20.2% strikeout rate and in the first percentile in allowing a 91.5 mph average exit velocity. Miller looked so great as a rookie that Los Angeles is likely to give him a chance to turn things around, but he may have to compete with Tony Gonsolin, Dustin May, Landon Knack and possibly others for the sixth spot in what projects to be a deep Dodgers rotation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#382
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Dodgers in March of 2025.
Sent back to Triple-A
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
April 17, 2025
The Dodgers optioned Miller to Triple-A Oklahoma City on Thursday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Miller's season debut Wednesday probably didn't play out the way he had hoped, as he surrendered six earned runs on eight hits and a walk across three innings, though he did collect seven strikeouts. The 26-year-old's poor showing will earn him a ticket back to Oklahoma City, freeing up a roster spot for Evan Phillips (shoulder) to make his return from the injured list over the weekend.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
84
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Bobby Miller generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bobby Miller generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-30%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .238 401 97 37 86 12 4 16
Since 2023vs Right .277 380 81 26 96 18 0 15
2025vs Left .400 10 4 0 4 0 0 2
2025vs Right .571 8 3 1 4 1 0 0
2024vs Left .303 123 28 14 33 2 1 9
2024vs Right .308 135 24 16 36 5 0 8
2023vs Left .202 268 65 23 49 10 3 5
2023vs Right .252 237 54 9 56 12 0 7
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-12%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-60%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-32%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 5.09 1.18 86.2 7 3 0 9.1 2.8 1.6
Since 2023Away 5.77 1.48 96.2 6 5 0 8.4 3.4 1.5
2025Home 18.00 3.00 3.0 0 0 0 21.0 3.0 6.0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 4.78 1.18 26.1 2 0 0 9.9 3.8 2.1
2024Away 11.83 2.29 29.2 0 4 0 7.0 5.8 3.3
2023Home 4.55 1.08 57.1 5 3 0 8.2 2.4 1.1
2023Away 3.09 1.12 67.0 6 1 0 9.0 2.3 0.7
Minor League Left/Right Pitching Splits (AAA)
Since 2023
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-38%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-56%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .198 98 19 16 16 4 0 2
Since 2023vs Right .209 158 30 23 27 4 1 3
2025vs Left .143 33 6 5 4 1 0 1
2025vs Right .133 41 8 11 4 0 0 1
2024vs Left .171 44 8 9 6 2 0 0
2024vs Right .277 77 15 8 18 4 0 1
2023vs Left .333 21 5 2 6 1 0 1
2023vs Right .147 40 7 4 5 0 1 1
Stat Review
How does Bobby Miller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
7.00
 
K/9
21.0
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
6.0
 
Fastball
97.7 mph
 
ERA
18.00
 
WHIP
3.00
 
BABIP
.804
 
GB/FB
0.67
 
Left On Base
48.4%
 
Exit Velocity
82.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.7%
 
Spin Rate
2371 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
15.4%
 
Swinging Strike
8.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
There is no other way to say it; Miller is going to be one of the most highly sought after pitchers in fantasy baseball this season after his successful rookie debut. He won half his 22 starts at the big league level showcasing elite velocity as well as six different offerings - five of which had at least a 20% whiff rate attached to them. It is impossible not to be excited about Miller's fantasy future as long as his right arm avoids the surgeon's table after watching so many talented pitchers run into that unfortunate future in recent seasons and especially last season. The only area where Miller could stand to improve is generating more strikeouts as his current production is not limited by his stuff but more by the fact opposing batters do not chase his stuff out of the zone. Once he is able to get hitters into protect mode more frequently, the sky is the limit for him. Miller's upside is staff ace, but it is unlikely he will provide the same volume of other aces in 2024.
Miller's pure stuff and ability to miss bats has not been in question since he was drafted by the Dodgers at the end of the first round in 2020. Inconsistency has been an issue for most of his pro career, but he finished 2022 with his best run to date. From July on, the 6-foot-5 righty logged a 3.56 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and an 82:16 K:BB in 55.2 innings across 11 starts between Double-A and Triple-A. Even in this impressive stretch, Miller failed to make it out of the third inning in three of his 11 starts and he struck out double-digit batters in four of 11 starts, so inconsistency remains. However, when he was on, he looked like a potential high-strikeout No. 2 starter whose power arsenal (fastball/slider/changeup) should make up for imperfect command and mechanics. The Dodgers have fifth starter candidates Ryan Pepiot and Michael Grove on the 40-man roster while the more exciting duo of Gavin Stone and Miller remain off the 40-man roster entering the year. This may not be a meritocracy right away, and the team could still trade for or sign another starter to further crowd the picture.
The No. 29 pick in the 2020 draft, Miller made his pro debut in 2021, logging 66.1 innings across High-A, Double-A and the Arizona Fall League. An oblique strain limited his innings, but his 7.2 BB% and 28.9 K% across his three stops were strong marks. He has good size at 6-foot-5, 220 pounds, and he can touch 100 mph with his mid-90s fastballs -- he throws both a four-seamer and a sinker. He throws three secondaries, all of which have above-average to plus potential. Miller was babied for most of the year, throwing less than four innings in 12 of his 17 pre-AFL starts. It might even be a stretch for Miller to get up over 100 innings in his age-23 season. There's a high ceiling to dream on, but there's also still plenty of risk that he doesn't make it as a true 160-plus inning starter.
The Dodgers have had success getting the most out of pitching prospects, and they have a lot to work with in Miller, the No. 29 overall pick in last year's draft. Despite a big frame (6-foot-5, 220 pounds) and a quality four-pitch repertoire, he carries some bullpen risk, as he had an 11.2 BB% in 2019 and a 9.7 BB% in four starts as a junior at Louisville. His mid-90s sinker touches 99 mph, but he might be better served emphasizing his fourseamer more in pro ball. He also has a plus slider that can touch the low-90s along with a changeup and curveball that have above-average potential. He has an unusual delivery and worked as a reliever for parts of his first two campaigns, only logging 20 starts across two-plus seasons. All of his shortcomings are potentially correctable, and the quality and depth of his arsenal suggests he could develop into a No. 2 starter if he can improve his command.
More Fantasy News
Shelled in 2025 debut
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
April 16, 2025
Miller allowed six runs on eight hits and one walk while striking out seven batters over three innings in a no-decision against Colorado on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Recalled ahead of start
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
April 16, 2025
The Dodgers recalled Miller from Triple-A Oklahoma City to start Wednesday's game against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Slated to start Wednesday
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
April 15, 2025
Miller is expected to be called up from Triple-A Oklahoma City to start Wednesday's game against the Rockies in Los Angeles, Jack Harris of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Candidate for spot start
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
April 10, 2025
The Dodgers may consider calling up Miller from Triple-A Oklahoma City to fill a void in the rotation next week, Sonja Chen of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ready to pitch at Triple-A
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
March 26, 2025
Miller (concussion) is listed as a projected starter for Triple-A Oklahoma City's third game of the season Sunday versus Sugar Land.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Ride the wave
PLos Angeles Dodgers  AAA
August 21, 2023
Miller owns a 1.15 ERA in his last three outings and is slated for a two-start week ahead.
ANALYSIS
Miller will likely face Boston and Cleveland in coming days. Boston ranks 18th in total home runs but third in team batting average, while Cleveland ranks last in all power metrics but strikes out the least of any team in baseball. Miller's 3.70 ERA aligns with his 3.73 xERA through 14 starts, symbolizing the reliability the 24-year-old brings to the table.
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