Super Bowl Odds: 2025 Odds To Win The Super Bowl
Latest Super Bowl Odds Movement
- 📈 Biggest Winner: Indianapolis Colts +11000 → +1200 (6-1)
- 📉 Biggest Loser: Los Angeles Chargers +2200 → +3500 (4-3)
More: Here's what you should know about Week 8 NFL Odds
Super Bowl Favorites – Week 8
Other than the 2025 Super Bowl odds dip we've seen from the Baltimore Ravens, the current Super Bowl favorites are exactly who we thought they would be entering the year. The latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook list the Chiefs (+500), Lions (+650), Bills (+700), Packers (+800), and Eagles (+1000) as the top-five favorites to hoist the Lombardi Trophy.
Now that we're in Week 8, the most notable shift has been with the Chiefs, who have regained the crown and are now the clear-cut favorites to win the award. But a lackluster pass-rush and spotty run defense could keep Kansas City from winning it all this year.
And the Bills appear to be getting healthy at the right time. If those reinforcements play well, Buffalo has a chance to finally rip the AFC crown from KC.
Below, I'll break down everything you need to know about the current Super Bowl odds, including who is favored, who the contenders are, some intriguing dark-horses, and my best Super Bowl bets to place in Week 8.
AFC Super Bowl Favorites
Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the AFC heading into Week 8. Make sure to use an offer like the bet365 bonus code to juice up your picks.
Chiefs Odds to Win Super Bowl: +500
The Kansas City Chiefs are just 4-3, but they're rounding into form at the right time. Week 7 was their first game with both Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy this season. The All-22 tape should scare the rest of the league. The Chiefs' offense scored four touchdowns in three quarters before pulling their starters, and the defense limited Las Vegas to three first downs all game. When you're scoring TDs more often than giving up a first down, you're probably going to be the Super Bowl favorite.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Proven history with Patrick Mahomes & Andy Reid
- ✅ Return of Rashee Rice & Xavier Worthy
- ✅ Great secondary & DC Steve Spagnuolo's decorated playoff history
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ Lackluster pass-rush might not get home against elite QBs
- ❌ Leaky run defense could get exposed against Colts, Bills, and Ravens
Bills Odds to Win Super Bowl: +700
The Buffalo Bills haven't done much since putting on one of the most memorable regular-season performances ever in the season-opener. They've lost back-to-back games against inferior opponents in the Patriots and Falcons. Their receiving corps might not have enough juice. And their run defense can't stop a nose bleed, sitting No. 29 in run defense EPA. And yet, I'm not ready to write them off. Not even close. I think Josh Allen will get this offense humming soon, and the defense should round into form once healthy.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Josh Allen is Superman in a league with a lot of Clark Kent QBs
- ✅ Cook-Allen duo leads an elite run game
- ✅ Ed Oliver getting healthy, and both Larry Ogunjobi and Michael Hoecht returning from suspension, could beef up an already-solid front-seven
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ Keon Coleman and the receiving corps aren't much of a threat – do they need to make a trade?
- ❌ Run defense has been terrible to start the year
- ❌ Defense has been shaky in coverage, posting a bottom-four coverage grade, per PFF
Colts Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1200
The shocking rise of Daniel Jones and the Indianapolis Colts is the headline of the 2025 season. But after seven weeks, it's time to accept that Indiana Jones is more than a great nickname. He's leading the league in both success rate and EPA per play – a gigantic departure from the last three seasons, when he ranked No. 31 in EPA per play and No. 21 in success rate among QBs with 600 snaps. While we think Jones is for real, we know the rest of this roster is. Jonathan Taylor leads the league's best run game by EPA, the three-headed monster of Tyler Warren, Michael Pittman and Josh Downs are giving opposing secondaries nightmares, and the defense is a rock-solid unit.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Elite skill-position group that meshes together perfectly in Taylor, Warren, Downs, and Pierce
- ✅ Combined brilliance head coach Shane Steichen and Daniel Jones
- ✅ Laiatu Latu finally giving a dangerous pass-rush a spark with two sacks over his last four
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ Are we 100% sure Daniel Jones keeps this up?
- ❌ Outside of Kenny Moore II, cornerback is a concern
- ❌ Again: Are we 100% sure Daniel Jones keeps this up?
NFC Super Bowl Favorites
Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the NFC heading into Week 8. Make sure to check out the best sportsbook promos to maximize your bets.
Lions Odds to Win Super Bowl: +650
The Detroit Lions were shorthanded in Week 7, missing their entire starting secondary. But it didn't matter. Detroit held the dominant Bucs' passing attack in check, and Jahmyr Gibbs and Amon-Ra St. Brown did the rest, leading the Lions to an impressive Week 7 win. Dan Campbell has this team clicking on both sides of the ball despite losing top coordinators Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn to head-coaching jobs. But Detroit will need to get healthy to compete in the postseason.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Offensive juggernaut through the air and on the ground with star-studded lineup
- ✅ Aidan Hutchinson is a legitimate DPOY candidate
- ✅ Kelvin Shepard spearheading a defense that has outperformed expectations
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ Outside of Hutchinson, is there enough of a pass-rush?
- ❌ Injuries all over the secondary
- ❌ Jared Goff can't hit the deep ball – where is Jameson Williams?
Packers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +800
From top to bottom, the Packers have one of the most loaded lineups in the league. They've got a 2025 NFL MVP candidate at QB in Jordan Love, a superstar pass-rusher in Micah Parsons, and a top-five head coach in Matt LaFleur. And yet, I can't shake the feeling that they're frauds. Narrowly beating the Jacoby Brissett-led Cardinals in Week 7 certainly didn't help their case. This team is talented enough to make me look foolish, but I think they're way overvalued here.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Micah Parsons leads a dominant pass-rush
- ✅ Matt LaFleur scheming up one of the most explosive offenses in football
- ✅ Looming return of Christian Watson could give them even more down-field juice
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ Down-to-down inconsistency – might be missing a true "chain-mover" at WR
- ❌ League-average defense by EPA –a team this talented should be better
- ❌ Frankly, I just don't trust them
Eagles Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000
It's been a weird season for the defending champs. The Eagles are 5-2 and should be riding high, but the vibes in Philadelphia haven't been great. The dominant run game we saw last year can't get going, the defense is a lot closer to league-average than we thought, and the passing attack has been more inconsistent than ever. But there have been signs of life lately. Jalen Hurts is averaging 296.3 passing yards per game over the last three – nearly doubling his per-game output over the first four. And with targets like A.J. Brown, Devonta Smith, Dallas Goedert and Saquon Barkley this offense should be able to throw consistently.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Recent surge from passing attack
- ✅ Star-studded lineup on both sides of the ball – might be the most complete roster in football
- ✅ Front-seven should be dominant again once healthy
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ Massive decline from Saquon Barkley & the run game
- ❌ Shaky secondary outside of DeJean and Mitchell, and a front-seven is banged up
- ❌ Inconsistent play from Jalen Hurts
Super Bowl Contenders
Next, we'll dive into the second tier of teams in the current Super Bowl odds: the Super Bowl contenders. I recommend using an offer like the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to juice up your bets.
NFC Super Bowl Contenders
Rams Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1300
The Los Angeles Rams have been a lot closer to winning the Super Bowl than you might think recently. They narrowly lost out to the Detroit Lions in 2023, who nearly made the Super Bowl themselves. And in 2024, they were just a couple plays away from beating the reigning champs. This could be the year they get it done. Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay are firing on all cylinders, and this defense is quietly the league's second-best unit in EPA per play. They need to shore up the secondary, but outside of that, there just aren't many holes on this team. I think they're a fantastic bet at +1300.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Proven history with Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay
- ✅ Dominant duo of Puka Nacua and Davante Adams
- ✅ Jared Verse and the terrifying pass-rush quietly turning this defense into an elite unit
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ Uninspiring cornerback play
- ❌ Lots of aging or injury-prone key players –will they be healthy when it matters?
- ❌ Major decline from RT Rob Havenstein & might not have a reliable third option at WR
Buccaneers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +2000
If the Colts have been the most fun story of the year, the Baker Mayfield-led Buccaneers are a close second. Baker has turned his career around, going from lining up as a scout-team D-Lineman in Carolina to a legitimate MVP candidate in Tampa Bay. But injuries are threatening to derail this season. Mike Evans will miss most of the year, Bucky Irving has been sidelined, Chris Godwin's return from injury hasn't gone well, and that's just the tip of the iceberg. The lackluster pass-rush was Tampa Bay's Achilles heel last year, and 2025 doesn't look much different, recording a bottom-10 pressure rate so far. Tampa is interesting if they can fix the pass-rush and get healthy, but those are pretty big ifs.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Arguably the best skill-position group in the NFL when healthy (Egbuka, Evans, Irving, Godwin)
- ✅ Baker Mayfield playing with his hair on fire
- ✅ Dominant run defense
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ Tons of injuries on both sides of the ball
- ❌ Pass-rush still can't reliably generate pressure
- ❌ Once-elite offensive line suddenly a weakness
49ers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +2500
Another NFC contender that has been ravaged by injuries, it's a mini-miracle that the 49ers are 5-2. San Francisco has been without its two best receivers for most of the year, and the defense will be without its two best players in Nick Bosa and Fred Warner, who both went down with season-ending injuries. Oh yeah, and Mac Jones has started five games already.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Brilliant coaching on both sides of the ball from Kyle Shanahan and Robert Saleh
- ✅ Christian McCaffrey winding back the clock
- ✅ Return of George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk could inject new life into this passing attack
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ Too many injuries to overcome
- ❌ Suddenly lacking top-end talent on defense
- ❌ Are Mac Jones and/or Brock Purdy good enough to dominate with this supporting cast?
AFC Super Bowl Contenders
Broncos Odds to Win Super Bowl: +2000
The Denver Broncos absolutely have a Super Bowl-caliber defense. But I'm not convinced their offense is up to the task. Bo Nix owns the league's sixth-worst success rate so far – barely beating out Russell Wilson. There's just no down-to-down consistency. Denver has only been able to move the ball by generating chunk plays – and I've watched Nix miss a lot of those throws, as he's tied for the seventh-highest off-target throw rate. The argument for Denver is that Nix started out similarly slow last year before turning it on in the second half. If that happens again, Denver could be dangerous. But I don't see it right now.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Dominant defense led by the league's best pass-rush
- ✅ Patrick Surtain erasing the opponent's top wide receiver
- ✅ Potential for another second-half surge from Nix and the offense
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ Underwhelming play from Nix
- ❌ Run game doesn't scare defenses either
- ❌ Up-and-down receiving corps outside of Courtland Sutton
Ravens Odds to Win Super Bowl: +2500
It's been the year from hell for the Baltimore Ravens. They've opened up to a 1-5 start, and Lamar Jackson hasn't played since going down in Week 4. But that's far from the whole story. The defense is playing backups at essentially every position. And what was supposed to be one of the best units in the NFL has actually been the league's worst unit through seven weeks. But Lamar Jackson looked as good as ever when he was healthy. When he gets back on the field, this team still has a chance to go on a run. If they sneak into the playoffs with a Wild Card berth, look out.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Offense is as scary as ever – might be the best skill-position group Lamar has ever had
- ✅ Poor play from defense could be due to injury – can they return to form once healthy?
- ✅ Would be one of the scariest Wild Card berths in recent memory if they get in
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ 1-5 start makes a playoff berth unlikely
- ❌ Currently the worst defense in the league
- ❌ Poor guard play limiting the run game
Chargers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +3000
The Chargers and Ravens are in a very similar position. They've got superhumans at QB and a scary skill-position group, but injuries might derail both of their seasons. The offensive line was supposed to be this team's strengths, but after a litany of injuries, Justin Herbert has been the most-pressured QB in the league. Herbert has been pressured 84 times – 12 more than the No. 2 QB, Cam Ward. And without their top-two RBs, they haven't been able to offset that with the run game. To me, this just doesn't feel like their year.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Justin Herbert and a scary receiving corps
- ✅ High-level defensive talent with Khalil Mack and Derwin James
- ✅ Proven history of Jim Harbaugh
👎 Case Against:
- ❌ Suddenly dealing with a patchwork offensive line
- ❌ Uninspiring run game without Najee Harris and Omarion Hampton
- ❌ Dangerously thin defense due to injury
Super Bowl Dark Horses
Each week, I'll examine a few teams, sitting outside the top-10 in the current Super Bowl odds, that I think could make a run. Here are my favorite Super Bowl dark-horse bets for Week 8.
Patriots Odds to Win Super Bowl: +3500
Drake Maye is playing quarterback at a top-three level right now. He's second in EPA per play, fifth in success rate, and has generated the third-most total yards in the league. And don't look now, but the Patriots' defense has rounded into form since getting Christian Gonzales back. Since Week 4, New England owns a top-seven defense in terms of EPA per play (No. 6), dropback EPA (No. 7), and run defense EPA (No. 6). Combining a front that's top 10 in sacks (18) with an extremely talented secondary, and you get a recipe for a scary defense. Youth and some occasionally boneheaded football will probably prevent this team from reaching its ceiling, but New England is an intriguing value at +3500.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Legitimately elite play from Drake Maye
- ✅ Dominant defensively since the return of Christian Gonzales
- ✅ Mike Vrabel's excellent track record
Seahawks Odds to Win Super Bowl: +2500
I think the Seahawks legitimately have a shot to come out of the NFC this season. Sam Darnold is slinging it right now, leading the league with 9.6 air yards per attempt. That mentality has made Seattle the league's most explosive passing attack, as Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the league with five 40-yard receptions and 14 20-yard receptions. And if this defense can get healthy in the secondary, it could be one of the scariest units in the league. The Seahawks' pass-rush has recorded the third-most sacks and is recording the league's fifth-best pressure rate. If Kenneth Walker gets going on the ground to complement this passing attack, Seattle could become one of the most complete teams in football.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Dominant defensively – elite upfront, talented secondary, schematic brilliance from Mike MacDonald
- ✅ Darnold to JSN is the most explosive combination in the league right now
- ✅ Room to grow in the running game
Bengals Odds to Win Super Bowl: +25000
I'm not ready to rule out the Bengals just yet. Joe Flacco can't move anymore, but he has proven he can still chuck it deep. When you have Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, that's all you need. Cincinnati has the league's second-easiest strength of schedule the rest of the way. I think this offense can do just enough to keep Cincinnati hovering around .500 until Joe Burrrow returns in mid-December. The Bengals are just a game back of the 4-3 Jaguars and Chargers, so that could lead to a Wild Card berth. And if Cincinnati does get in, look out.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
- ✅ Looming return of Joe Burrow and an easy schedule the rest of the way
- ✅ Triumvirate of Joe Flacco, Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins might keep this offense afloat
- ✅ Only one game back of 4-3 Jaguars and 4-3 Chargers – both teams feel beatable
Best 2025 Super Bowl Bets: Week 8
Here are my two favorite Super Bowl bets to place, heading into Week 8. Make sure to click the link below to maximize your bets with Odds Jam:
Los Angeles Rams: +1300
I don't get how the Rams are flying so far under the radar. LA has quietly become one of the most complete teams in football. Matthew Stafford is playing lights out, putting up gaudy numbers when targeting Adams and Puka. But this defense is the real ace up their sleeve. LA is the league's second-best defense by EPA, generating the second-most sacks and forcing the fifth-most turnovers. It's not often you'll get 14-to-1 odds on a team with an MVP-level QB, elite head coach, two All-Pro receivers and a legitimately elite defense. I'm all over the Rams at this price.
- Best Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1400 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
Kansas City Chiefs: +500
At +500, I wouldn't be surprised if these are the lowest odds you'll get on the Chiefs the rest of the way. It's a safe pick, but they're the favorites for a reason. With a healthy Rice and Worthy, this might be the scariest Chiefs' offense we've seen since Mahomes' MVP season in 2022. The lackluster run game and so-so pass-rush are a concern, but I think these are the best odds you'll get on KC for a while.
- Best Odds to Win Super Bowl: +500 (Every Major Sportsbook)
Current NFL Super Bowl Odds for Every Team
