Jonathan Aranda

Jonathan Aranda

26-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Tampa Bay Rays
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Aranda's 2024 was a potpourri of events. He had a fantastic spring but broke a finger near the end of it and that short-circuited his start to the season. He made it to the major league roster in May when the Rays were dealing with injuries but went back down in early June and wasn't seen again until the end of August. His time in Triple-A Durham was unlike his previous season as an oblique strain there limited his playing time and his ability to hit for power. Even more concerning was that he lost his contact abilities, with a career-worst 32.6 percent strikeout rate. The only true upside to his season was how he closed it, as he showed some surprising pop down the stretch with five doubles and five homers after his final promotion. Most of his batted ball metrics trended in a positive direction as the season closed, and the temporary home for the Rays in 2025 should be a good fit for Aranda. He is out of options, so he is a lock to make the team as long as he isn't traded in the offseason. The 1B-only eligibility makes him truly only draftable in the draft-and-hold formats or deeper mono-league formats, but there are enough late signs of growth from him for managers to remain intrigued for 2025. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#318
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Rays in March of 2025.
Idle vs. southpaw
1BTampa Bay Rays
April 23, 2025
Aranda is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Diamondbacks, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Aranda has four homers and a 1.098 OPS through 21 games this season, but he will take a seat Wednesday with left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez set to toe the slab for Arizona. Curtis Mead will start at first base instead and bat fifth.
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Batting Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
14
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+65%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+121%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+37%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+121%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .507 43 3 0 0 0 .121 .326 .182
Since 2023vs Right .837 287 46 12 40 0 .270 .348 .488
2025vs Left .500 15 1 0 0 0 .100 .400 .100
2025vs Right 1.104 69 13 4 13 0 .350 .420 .683
2024vs Left .557 19 1 0 0 0 .176 .263 .294
2024vs Right .765 124 21 6 14 0 .243 .315 .450
2023vs Left .333 9 1 0 0 0 .000 .333 .000
2023vs Right .735 94 12 2 13 0 .247 .340 .395
More Splits View More Split Stats
Minor League Splits View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+25%
OPS at Home
2025
 
 
+92%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+37%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+59%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .886 167 27 7 26 0 .278 .365 .521
Since 2023Away .708 163 22 5 14 0 .227 .325 .383
2025Home 1.175 61 10 3 11 0 .380 .475 .700
2025Away .611 23 4 1 2 0 .150 .261 .350
2024Home .879 56 10 4 10 0 .269 .321 .558
2024Away .641 87 12 2 4 0 .211 .299 .342
2023Home .542 50 7 0 5 0 .167 .280 .262
2023Away .863 53 6 2 8 0 .289 .396 .467
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Stat Review
How does Jonathan Aranda compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.73
 
BB Rate
13.1%
 
K Rate
17.9%
 
BABIP
.346
 
ISO
.286
 
AVG
.314
 
OBP
.417
 
SLG
.600
 
OPS
1.017
 
wOBA
.434
 
Exit Velocity
95.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.9%
 
Barrels/PA
11.9%
 
Expected BA
.332
 
Expected SLG
.711
 
Sprint Speed
22.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
41.1%
 
Line Drive %
14.3%
 
Fly Ball %
44.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
Aranda has done nothing but rake since advancing to the advanced levels of the minor leagues. .330/.426/.495 in High A ball, .325/.410/.540 in Double-A, and .328/.421/.565 in Tirple-A ball over nearly 900 plate appearances. However, none of that has translated into major league success as he owns a career .212/.311/.346 line in 190 major league plate appearances sprinkled over the past two seasons. Aranda is a patient hitter who is very accepting of his walks and made solid contact s a minor leaguer but the contact has been an issue as a big leaguer with a 28% strikeout rate and and 78% contact rate at the big league level. Aranda is nearly undraftable until the reserves for a few reasons, primarily because he is DH-only on draft day. Secondly, he is a terrible defender with poor range and has trouble with lefties so he loses playing time due to both deficiencies. Some may label him as Luiz Arraez lite whereas it would be more prudent to call him an Arraez knockoff.
Last year saw Luis Arraez surprise many with his hitting prowess at the plate that helped them, and Minnesota, gloss over his defensive struggles in the field. Aranda is that same story, but at the minor league level. Since graduating from the lower levels of the minors, he has hit .330 in High-A, .325 in Double-A, and .318 in Triple-A over the course of nearly 900 plate appearances with over a .400 OBP. Simply put, the young man can hit and he does so to all fields. He does not have Arraez's same incredible contact rate, but he does share the defensive challenges in that Aranda does not have a full-time defensive home. He lacks the range a modern day second baseman needs with the shift rules in place and he is not terribly quick either. The crowded depth chart in Tampa Bay with many players currently out of options could have Aranda right back in Durham if the club does not trade him first to a club more forgiving of his defensive shortcomings.
Aranda was 62 percent better than the average Double-A hitter and 70 percent better than the average High-A hitter during his breakout age-23 season. His exploits earned him a spot on the Rays' 40-man roster this offseason. While at Double-A, he played 48 games at first base, 17 games at second base and 10 games at third base. It will be his bat that earns him a look either this year or next, as he hit .330/.418/.543 with an 18.5 K% on the season. His 25.2 LD% and 39.0 FB% at Double-A were particularly encouraging marks. At 5-foot-10, 173 pounds, Aranda looks more like a second baseman than a first baseman, but it's just a matter of getting his left-handed bat in the lineup somewhere, so he will also likely get starts at designated hitter. He should spend most of the year at Triple-A.
More Fantasy News
Walks off Yankees
1BTampa Bay Rays
April 20, 2025
Aranda went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run Saturday against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Grabbing seat versus lefty
1BTampa Bay Rays
April 16, 2025
Aranda is not in the lineup for Wednesday's contest versus the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Cracks third homer
1BTampa Bay Rays
April 15, 2025
Aranda went 2-for-3 with one walk and a solo homer in Tuesday's 7-4 loss to the Red Sox.
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Solid day in blowout win
1BTampa Bay Rays
April 15, 2025
Aranda went 2-for-5 with a double, two RBI and two runs scored Monday against the Red Sox.
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Missing from lineup Sunday
1BTampa Bay Rays
April 13, 2025
Aranda is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extra year of team control
1BTampa Bay Rays
February 14, 2025
According to Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times, the Rays were granted a fourth option year for Aranda.
ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old utilized his three minor-league options in each of the past three seasons, but the organization was granted another year, potentially due to the finger and oblique injuries that sidelined him for much of 2024. Aranda had a .738 OPS in 44 games last year and is poised to see regular plate appearances between first base and designated hitter in 2025.
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